The dual impact of Middle East geopolitical tensions and U.S. Federal Reserve policy continues to weigh on market sentiment. Nouey Exchange is closely monitoring how macro risks shape crypto asset trading trends.

Crypto Market Enters Sideways Consolidation, Capital Inflows Slow

Bitcoin is currently priced at $105,124, with limited movement over the past 48 hours, trading within a range of $103,000 to $108,000. Amid geopolitical conflict and policy uncertainty, the market has entered a phase of low volatility and subdued trading volume. Ethereum is trading at $2,525, down slightly by 0.5%. Major Layer-1 tokens including Cardano and Solana have fallen by over 2.5%, reflecting a cooling in overall sentiment.

According to analysis by Nouey Exchange, the narrowing price range, coupled with declining trading volume, suggests that investors are adopting a wait-and-see approach in the face of macro uncertainty—awaiting a clear catalyst to set a new directional trend.

Geopolitical Risks Dampen Risk Appetite, Risk-Off Mood Suppresses Speculative Activity

Recent escalation in the Middle East has sharply heightened market concerns. Bloomberg reports that the U.S. may expand its military involvement in the Israel-Iran conflict, prompting a rise in risk-off sentiment. Risk assets are broadly under pressure, with gold reclaiming a key support level while the crypto market faces concurrent headwinds.

The research team of Nouey Exchange notes that although Bitcoin is often labeled as “digital gold,” it has yet to demonstrate robust hedging capability in traditional risk-off cycles. On the contrary, during actual periods of flight to safety, it is often affected by broader sell-offs in risk assets. Until geopolitical tensions ease, capital is more inclined to flow into conventional safe havens such as gold, U.S. dollars, and short-term Treasuries.

Fed Maintains Hawkish Tone, Policy Path Deepens Uncertainty

At the FOMC meeting of this wee, the Federal Reserve kept rates unchanged and lowered its rate-cut forecast for 2026. Chair Jerome Powell reaffirmed a “data-dependent” stance, signaling reluctance to ease policy in the near term. These remarks have dampened earlier market enthusiasm for a “fall rate cut,” directly impacting sentiment-based pricing of risk assets.

As a result, the meme coin segment suffered a pronounced decline. Tokens driven by speculative momentum, such as DOGE and $TRUMP, posted wider losses. Under an extended high-rate environment, the valuation narratives for such assets face heightened scrutiny.

Nouey Exchange Highlights Risk Control and Strategic Adjustment

Given the current macro environment marked by elevated uncertainty, Nouey Exchange advises users to approach high-leverage strategies with caution, reassess portfolio composition, and focus on relative performance across asset classes. While Bitcoin remains stable in the short term, it lacks the momentum for a decisive breakout. ETH and other major altcoins are under dual pressure from policy and sentiment, and may continue to trade sideways at lower levels.

Nouey Exchange will continue to provide transparent and forward-looking analytical support through data research, market tools, and educational content—helping investors make rational decisions amid the ongoing uncertainty cycle.